据今日石油2021年6月3日报道，俄罗斯政府副总理亚历山大· 诺瓦克说，国际能源署(IEA)叫停全球油气开发的呼吁可能会把油价推高到每桶200美元。

　　诺瓦克是在6月3日在即将于8月举行的欧佩克+会议的筹备工作中发表上述讲话的。他表示：“如果IEA避免为新能源企业提供融资的决定得到实施，油价可能会达到每桶200美元。”

　　诺瓦克说，即将召开的欧佩克+8月会议将讨论并确定8月或其他月份的石油产量，诺瓦克同时指出，今年和明年，石油公司将增加投资。

　　诺瓦克表示：“季节性石油需求将在第三季度上升。俄罗斯对目前的油价感到满意。”诺瓦克还很快指出，如果油价过高，可能会迫使用户转向其他能源。

　　石油价格周三飙升，达到一年多来的最高水平，原因是欧佩克及其盟友决定坚持逐步恢复供应的计划。

　　诺瓦克对IEA这份具有里程碑意义的报告发表评论之前，沙特能源大臣阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹·本·萨勒曼王子表示，他对 IEA报告的评价是零颗星和差评，认为它不值得考虑。

　　萨勒曼王子说：“我必须要表达我的观点，我认为IEA的净零计划是电影《爱乐之城》的续集，我干吗要当真呢?”

　　IEA的净零路线图得出结论说，如果世界要在未来30年里将碳排放削减到净零，全球石油供应将需要每年减少8%以上，从新冠肺炎疫情大流行前的每天1亿桶减少到2050年的每天2400万桶。这将意味着未来不应该开发新的油气上游项目。

　　李峻 编译自 今日石油

　　原文如下：

　　Russia Deputy Prime Minister says IEA’s net zero plan could push oil price to $200

　　Russia Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak says the International Energy Agency (IEA)’s call for a halt to global oil and gas developments could push oil prices to $200 a barrel.

　　“If the international energy agency’s decision to avoid financing new energy ventures is implemented, oil prices may hit $200,” Novak said on Thursday as preparations get underway for the upcoming OPEC+ conference set for August.

　　He said the upcoming conference will address and finalize oil output for August or other months while pointing out that this year and next year, oil firms will increase their investments.

　　“Seasonal oil demand will rise in the third quarter,” he stated, adding that Russia is satisfied with the present oil price. Novak was quick to also point out that if oil prices are too high, this may force users to switch to other energy sources.

　　Novak’s remarks on the IEA’s landmark report follows comments from Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, who said he give the report Zero stars and two thumbs down and that it is unworthy of consideration.

　　“I would have to express my view that I believe it is a sequel of [the] La La Land movie,” Prince Abdulaziz told reporters Tuesday after OPEC+ ministers met to affirm production levels through July. “Why should I take it seriously?”

　　The IEA’s roadmap concluded that if the world were to slash carbon emissions to net-zero over the next three decades, global oil supplies would need to shrink more than 8% annually, down to 24 million b/d in 2050, from pre-pandemic levels of just above 100 million b/d. That would mean no new oil and gas upstream projects should be developed.

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