据路透社6月15日报道，人们乐观地认为，需求将在今年下半年迅速恢复，油价周二上涨，接近多年来的高点。

　　格林尼治标准时间10：28，布伦特原油价格上涨52美分，至每桶73.38美元，涨幅0.7%，接近2019年4月底的高点。美国原油价格上涨49美分，至每桶71.37美元，涨幅0.7%，接近32个月高点。

　　德国商业银行表示:“我们认为，需求方面的持续好消息和金融市场的乐观情绪，是最新油价上涨的关键原因。”

　　维托尔(Vitol)贸易公司负责人预计，由于预期欧佩克+将保持供应限制，今年油价将在每桶70-80美元之间波动。

　　罗素?哈迪在英国《金融时报》大宗商品全球峰会上表示：“几个月来，石油类股一直受欢迎，市场正朝着正确的方向前进……我认为，这不是一个超级周期。”

　　欧佩克以及包括俄罗斯在内的主要产油国，最近几个月一直在逐步放松创纪录的减产。经纪公司PVM石油表示:“即使欧佩克及其10个盟国决定在7月后进一步放松供应限制，以满足至少一部分的不断增长的需求，未来6个月仍有可能出现持续的供应短缺。”

　　他表示，投资者和交易商还在关注周二晚些时候开始的为期两天的美国联邦储备理事会(FED)会议的结果，以寻求美联储何时开始削弱货币刺激的信号。

　　美联储正准备就如何以及何时开始缩减大规模资产购买计划展开讨论，该计划在疫情期间帮助美国支撑了经济。

　　此外，在英国，因新冠肺炎而引发的出行限制时间从6月21日又推迟了4周。

　　王佳晶 摘译自 路透社

　　原文如下：

　　Oil rises on optimism about demand outlook

　　Oil prices rose on Tuesday, holding near multi-year highs, amid optimism that demand will recover rapidly in the second half of this year.

　　Brent crude was up by 52 cents, or 0.7%, at $73.38 a barrel by 1028 GMT, close to a late April 2019high. U.S. oil gained 49 cents, or 0.7%, to $71.37 a barrel, near a 32-month high

　　"We regard the continuing good news on the demand front and upbeat sentiment on the financial markets as the key reasons for the latest upswing," Commerzbank said.

　　The head of trading house Vitol sees oil prices moving between $70-$80 a barrel this year on the expectations that OPEC+ will keep its supply discipline.

　　"We have had those stock draws for a couple months, the market is heading in the right direction ... my impression it is not a super cycle," Russell Hardy told the FT Commodities Global Summit.

　　Members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) along with major producers including Russia - a group known as OPEC+ - have been gradually easing record output cuts in recent months.

　　"Continuous supply deficit is as good as guaranteed for the coming six months even if OPEC and its ten allies decide to further ease supply constraints after July to meet at least part of the rising demand," brokerage PVM oil said.

　　Investors and traders are also watching the outcome of a two-day U.S. Federal Reserve meeting that starts later on Tuesday for signals on when it will start to scale back monetary stimulus, he said.

　　The Fed is getting ready to starting debating how and when to start tapering a massive asset-purchase program that helped support the U.S. economy during the pandemic.

　　In Britain, the end of COVID-19 restrictions were delayed from June 21 by a further four weeks.

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