据钻机地带12月22日消息称，俄罗斯天然气工业公司的2022 年预算对天然气价格采取了典型的审慎态度，尽管其主要出口市场的能源成本创下历史新高，而且几乎没有迹象表明欧洲的能源紧缩正在缓解。

这家俄罗斯天然气生产商周三向投资者做的报告显示，它将2022年的预算建立在每1000立方米296美元的“保守”出口价格基础上。

俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司历来对其预算估计持谨慎态度，称这有助于减轻价格波动的影响。在 2021 年的预算中，该公司对出口价格提出了类似的预留要求，即 250 美元/1000立方米，但没有实现。据该公司副首席执行官familil Sadygov称，天然气生产商2021年的平均出口价格实际上要高得多，超过280美元/ 1000立方米。

俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司保守的 2022 年预算出台之际，其主要出口市场欧洲在供应紧缩的情况下陷入困境，近几个月来，基准天然气合同屡屡打破纪录。来自俄罗斯的供应受限意味着欧洲大陆不得不依赖其耗尽的天然气储存设施，而整个欧洲大陆的核中断意味着需要更多的天然气来发电。明年欧洲天然气供应的前景看起来也不会好多少。

根据彭博新闻社看到的介绍，该公司预计明年在所有海外市场的出口价格为296美元/ 1000立方米，包括欧洲、土耳其、以及其他亚洲国家。俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司2022年的预算预计出口总量为2270亿立方米，比2021年预算的基础水平高出约2%。

尽管俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司对出口价格预测持谨慎态度，但由于欧洲天然气紧缩和随后的价格上涨，该公司仍预计今年和 2022 年的收益将创下历史新高。

朱佳妮 摘译自 钻机地带

原文如下：

Gazprom Sees Gas 2022 Export Price Up Six Percent

Gazprom PJSC’s 2022 budget took a typically prudent view of gas prices, despite record-high energy costs in its main export market and few signals Europe’s energy crunch is abating.

The Russian gas producer is basing its 2022 budget on what it calls a “conservative” export price of $296 per 1,000 cubic meters, according to a company presentation made to investors on Wednesday.

Gazprom has traditionally been cautious in its budget estimates, saying this helps mitigate the impact of volatile prices. In its budget for 2021, the company made a similarly reserved call on export prices, of $250/1,000 cm, that didn’t materialize. The gas producer’s average 2021 export price is actually much higher, at over $280/1,000 cm, according to Deputy Chief Executive Famil Sadygov.

Gazprom’s conservative 2022 budget comes as Europe, its main export market, buckles under a supply crunch that’s pushed benchmark gas contracts to break record after record in recent months. Constrained supplies from Russia mean the continent has to rely on its depleted storage sites, as nuclear outages throughout the continent mean more gas is needed to generate electricity. The outlook for Europe’s gas supply doesn’t look much better next year either.

The company sees an export price of $296/1,000 cm for all its foreign markets next year, including Europe, Turkey and other countries in Asia, according to the presentation seen by Bloomberg News. Gazprom’s 2022 budget envisions total exports of 227 billion cm, about 2% above the level the 2021 budget is based on.

Despite Gazprom’s caution on export-price estimates, the company still expects to report record earnings for this year and 2022 because of Europe’s gas crunch and the price rally that’s followed.

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