据美国油价网2022年2月7日报道，作为美国西得克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货合约的指定交割点，位于俄克拉荷马州的美国最大原油储存中心库欣的原油库存在过去4周里一直在下降，如今已下降到了可能令人不安的低水平，这表明油价有可能进一步上涨。

在截至1月28日的最新一周报告中，美国能源信息署(EIA)表示，库欣原油库存降到了3050万桶，比前一周减少了120万桶。 库欣库存现在比去年同期下降了37.3%。

EIA数据显示，库欣原油库存从去年12月31日的3730万桶降到了今年1月28日的略高于3000万桶。

彭博评论专栏作家哈维尔?布拉斯指出，交易商们正大举押注，在本周EIA报告库存时，库欣库存水平将进一步下降，并可能在整个2月份将进一步下降。

库欣库存的减少可能会在未来几周里推高油价。 彭博社的布拉斯指出，由于运营原因，库欣的原油库存不可能真正达到零，因此所谓的“罐底”是指库存降至2500万桶以下。

可这并不是说，库欣的原油库存将达到所谓的“罐底”——美国即将进行的炼油厂维护可能会减少库存下降。

尽管如此，由于WTI原油期货合约交割点现货价格较低，这仍是石油市场看涨的信号。

2月4日触及每桶92美元以后，WTI原油下跌了1.21%，报收于每桶91.19美元。2月7日上午10点，布兰特原油期货价格下跌了0.53%，报收于每桶92.83美元。 

李峻 编译自 美国油价网

原文如下：

Low Cushing Inventories Could Lead To Higher Oil Prices

Crude oil inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma—the designated delivery point for WTI Crude oil futures contracts—have been falling for the past four weeks, reaching what could be uncomfortably low levels and pointing to a potential further upside for oil prices.

In the latest reporting week to January 28, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said that Cushing crude inventories fell to 30.5 million barrels, down by 1.2 million from the previous week. Cushing inventories are now down by 37.3 percent compared to this time of the year in 2021.

Crude inventories dropped from 37.3 million barrels on December 31, 2021, to just over 30 million barrels as of January 28, EIA data showed.

Traders are betting heavily that those levels would further drop when the EIA reports inventories this week, and probably further decline throughout February, Bloomberg Opinion columnist Javier Blas notes.

Shrinking Cushing inventories could push oil prices higher in the coming weeks. Due to operational reasons, crude at Cushing cannot really reach zero, so the perceived “tank bottoms” is when inventories drop below 25 million barrels, Bloomberg’s Blas notes.

It’s not a given that crude inventories at Cushing will reach the so-called “tank bottoms”—upcoming refinery maintenance in the United States could drop the drawdowns.

Nevertheless, low levels of physical crude at the delivery point for WTI Crude oil futures contracts is still a bullish sign for the oil market.

After hitting $92 a barrel on Friday, WTI Crude fell on Monday morning by 1.21% at $91.19 as of 10:25 a.m., and Brent Crude was down 0.53% at $92.83.

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