据美国钻井网站2022年4月18日报道， 美国能源情报署(EIA)在其最近发布的4月份《短期能源展望(STEO)》报告中下调了其对今明两年布伦特原油现货平均价格的预测。
根据最新的STEO，EIA现在预计今年布伦特原油现货平均价格为每桶103.37美元，比其3月份的STEO中做出的今年布伦特原油现货平均价格预测(105.22美元/桶)每桶下降了近2美元。
展望2023年，EIA在其最新STEO报告中上调了布伦特原油现货平均价格预测。 EIA在其4月份的STEO报告中预计布伦特原油现货平均价格平均为每桶92.57美元，而3月份的STEO预计明年布伦特原油现货价格平均为每桶88.98美元。
EIA在4月份的STEO报告中表示：“3月份布伦特原油现货平均均价为每桶117美元，较2月份每桶上涨了20美元。”
EIA在STEO中补充道：“原油价格上涨。 对石油供应进一步中断的可能性造成了巨大的市场不确定性。 这些事件发生在低石油库存和持续上涨的油价压力的背景下。”
在最新的STEO报告中，EIA概述称，预计今年第二季度布伦特原油平均价格将为每桶108美元，在今年下半年平均价格将为每桶102美元，随后在明年下降。 然而，EIA强调，这一价格预测“高度不确定”。
李峻 编译自 美国钻井网站
原文如下：
USA Energy Body Lowers 2022 Brent Oil Price Forecast
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) lowered its 2022 Brent spot average price forecast in its April Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) report, which was released recently.
According to the latest STEO, the EIA now sees Brent spot prices averaging $103.37 per barrel this year, which marks a near $2 drop from its previous 2022 Brent spot price average price forecast of $105.22 per barrel, which was made in the EIA’s March STEO.
Looking ahead to 2023, the EIA increased its Brent spot price forecast in its latest STEO. The organization’s April STEO sees Brent spot prices averaging $92.57 per barrel, while its March STEO saw Brent spot prices averaging $88.98 per barrel.
“The Brent crude oil spot price averaged $117 per barrel in March, a $20 per barrel increase from February,” the EIA stated in its April STEO.
“Crude oil prices increased following and other actions contributed to falling oil production in Russia and created significant market uncertainties about the potential for further oil supply disruptions. These events occurred against a backdrop of low oil inventories and persistent upward oil price pressures,” the EIA added in the STEO.
In its latest STEO, the EIA outlined that it expects the Brent price will average $108 per barrel in the second quarter of 2022 and $102 per barrel in the second half of 2022, before falling next year. The organization highlighted, however, that this price forecast was “highly uncertain”.
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