据MRCHUB网站4月12日莫斯科报道，油气巨头壳牌公司上周四表示，由于税收和折旧成本可能更高，利用率较低，其宾夕法尼亚州石化综合体的产能增长速度低于预期，该公司预计其化工部门将在2023年的前三个月出现亏损。

预计税前折旧成本为8亿至10亿美元，而2022年第四季度为8亿美元，而该部门的税收费用预计为1亿至6亿美元，而上一季度为零。

尽管第一季度的指示性利润率为140美元/吨，但已实现的化学品利润预计将低于100美元/吨，较2022年第四季度的37美元/吨大幅增加，而2022年第三季度亏损27美元/吨。

指示性和已实现的化学品利润率之间的差异是由于该公司新落成的宾夕法尼亚综合设施产能增长速度慢于预期，从而导致利用率较低。

该公司今年炼油利润率预计为15美元/桶，而2022年第四季度为19美元/桶；利用率预计为70%至74%，而前三个月为75%。

郝芬 译自 MRCHUB

原文如下：

Shell projects Q1 loss for chems ops on higher costs

Shell expects its chemicals division to post a loss for the first three months of 2023, the oil and gas major said on Thursday, amid potential higher tax and depreciation costs, lower utilisation rates and slower than expected ramp-up of its Pennsylvania petrochemicals complex, said the company.

Pre-tax depreciation costs are expected to be USD800m-1bn compared to USD800m during the fourth quarter of 2022, while tax charges for the division are expected to be USD100m-600m for the period compared to zero in the prior quarter.

Realised chemicals margins are expected to be below USD100/tonne despite the indicative margin for the first quarter standing at USD140/tonne, a substantial increase on the USD37/tonne generated in the fourth quarter and USD27/tonne loss during the third quarter 2022.

The disparity between indicative and realised chemicals margins is due to lower utilisation as a result of slower than projected capacity ramp-ups at the firm’s newly-completed Pennsylvania complex.

Refining margins are expected to be USD15/bbl compared to USD19/bbl during the fourth quarter of 2022, while utilisation levels are expected to 70-74% compared to 75% during the preceding three months.